Kfar Saba 1928vs
Maccabi Ashdod
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/24/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kfar Saba 1928 1-3 Maccabi Ashdod
Original prediction
Maccabi Ashdod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.4% | 31.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.3% | 28.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.2% | 39.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Ashdod
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Maccabi Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00