GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kfar Saba 1928 0-1 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Original prediction

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.3926.4%27.5%1.1 pts
Draw3.3926.4%27.9%1.5 pts
Away1.8947.2%44.6%-2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–114%
  3. 3.0–014%

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kfar Saba 1928WLDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Ramat HaSharonWDWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kfar Saba 1928Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
38.9Attack33.3
44.4Defence83.3
22.2Form66.7
36.1Power64.8
0.86xG1.22
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