Kfar Saba 1928vs
Hapoel Marmorek
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/1/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kfar Saba 1928 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kfar Saba 1928 2-2 Hapoel Marmorek
Original prediction
Kfar Saba 1928
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.8% | 37.3% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.4% | 29.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 25.8% | 33.4% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Kfar Saba 1928
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Kfar Saba 1928 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00