GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Alef · 9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kfar Saba 1928 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kfar Saba 1928 0-1 Hapoel Hadera

Original prediction

Kfar Saba 1928

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2938.7%39.3%0.6 pts
Draw3.1728.0%28.7%0.7 pts
Away2.6633.3%32.0%-1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Kfar Saba 1928

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Kfar Saba 1928 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kfar Saba 1928WLLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel HaderaDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kfar Saba 1928Hapoel Hadera
42.4Attack0.0
53.0Defence66.7
43.9Form0.0
47.7Power23.7
1.34xG1.06
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