GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/13/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tikveš · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

KF Gostivari are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tikveš are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tikveš hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the First League, while Tikveš holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tikveš

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KF GostivariLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TikvešWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KF GostivariTikveš
32.3Attack100.0
61.6Defence83.3
42.4Form100.0
47.6Power94.8
0.78xG1.27
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