Kettering Townvs
Stamford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kettering Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kettering Town 1-0 Stamford, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kettering Town 5-0 Stamford
Original prediction
Kettering Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.6% | 54.6% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.0% | 25.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 5.84 | 15.4% | 19.8% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Projected Score
Kettering Town 1–0 Stamford
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kettering Town
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Kettering Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80