Kettering Townvs
Halesowen Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kettering Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kettering Town 1-0 Halesowen Town, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kettering Town 1-1 Halesowen Town
Original prediction
Kettering Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.4% | 55.7% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 24.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.6% | 19.4% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Kettering Town 1–0 Halesowen Town
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kettering Town
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Kettering Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60