Kettering Townvs
Anstey Nomads
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kettering Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kettering Town 4-1 Anstey Nomads
Original prediction
Kettering Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.0% | 41.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 26.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.3% | 31.7% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Kettering Town
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Kettering Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20