GGOALVIO

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/21/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Keshla FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Keshla FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Araz Saatlı are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Keshla FC hold a 50.7-point power-rating edge (70.8 v 20.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.1% in the Birinci Dasta, while Keshla FC holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Keshla FC

Probability

93.1%

Model confidence

93.1%

Keshla FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Keshla FCDDLLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Araz SaatlıL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Keshla FCAraz Saatlı
74.1Attack34.6
72.8Defence1.2
70.4Form16.0
70.8Power20.1
4.36xG0.45
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