GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/3/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Kerry are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Treaty United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kerry

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KerryLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Treaty UnitedLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KerryTreaty United
42.0Attack32.1
59.3Defence51.9
43.2Form35.8
49.8Power42.1
1.33xG0.70
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