Kerryvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 3/3/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kerry are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Treaty United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80