Kerryvs
Treaty United
SCHEDULEDIreland · First Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kerry are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Treaty United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
16.3%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40