Kerryvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 4/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kerry are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Treaty United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
16.3%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80