KerryvsDrogheda United

Kerry are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Drogheda United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Drogheda United hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the FAI Cup, while Drogheda United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.