Kerryvs
Athlone Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 6/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kerry are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Athlone Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.4% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
17.4%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20