GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 2/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kerry are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Athlone Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kerry

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KerryLLLLW

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Athlone TownWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
KerryAthlone Town
42.0Attack32.1
59.3Defence59.3
43.2Form38.3
49.8Power45.4
1.11xG0.71
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