Kerryvs
Athlone Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 2/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kerry are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Athlone Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00