Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kerry FC 1-1 UCD
Original prediction
UCD
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kerry FCLLWWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
UCDLWLDW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kerry FCUCD
42.0Attack56.8
59.3Defence60.5
43.2Form53.1
49.8Power56.2
1.05xG1.29