Kerry FCvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kerry FC 1-0 Treaty United, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kerry FC 3-1 Treaty United
Original prediction
Kerry FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.6% | 51.8% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 26.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.0% | 21.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Projected Score
Kerry FC 1–0 Treaty United
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kerry FC
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Kerry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kerry FCDLLWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Treaty UnitedDLWLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kerry FCTreaty United
41.7Attack33.3
59.5Defence51.2
42.9Form35.7
49.7Power42.2
1.34xG0.72