Kerry FCvs
Bray Wanderers
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 10/24/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kerry FC 1-2 Bray Wanderers
Original prediction
Bray Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 October 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.3% | 34.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.6% | 37.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bray Wanderers
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80