GGOALVIO

India · Indian Super League · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kerala Blasters · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kerala Blasters 0-0 Mumbai City

Original prediction

Kerala Blasters

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7433.1%39.3%6.2 pts
Draw3.2128.3%27.5%-0.8 pts
Away2.3538.6%33.3%-5.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Kerala Blasters

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Kerala Blasters has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kerala BlastersLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mumbai CityDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kerala BlastersMumbai City
50.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form16.7
45.8Power36.5
1.57xG1.22
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