Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poprad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kežmarok are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Poprad are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Poprad hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the 3. liga - East, while Poprad holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Poprad
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
11.5%
Poprad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60