Kelty Heartsvs
Morton
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kelty Hearts are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Morton are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kelty Hearts hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 18.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the League Cup, while Kelty Hearts holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33