Kelty Heartsvs
Forfar Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kelty Hearts 2-1 Forfar Athletic
Original prediction
Kelty Hearts
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.1% | 49.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.1% | 23.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.8% | 27.5% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40