Kelty Heartsvs
Annan Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kelty Hearts 2-1 Annan Athletic
Original prediction
Kelty Hearts
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.8% | 37.9% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.9% | 28.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.3% | 33.8% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20