GGOALVIO

Kelty Hearts logoKelty HeartsvsAlloa Athletic logoAlloa Athletic

COMPLETED

Scotland · League One · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alloa Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kelty Hearts are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alloa Athletic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kelty Hearts hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the League One, while Alloa Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alloa Athletic

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kelty HeartsLWDWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alloa AthleticLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Kelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
44.4Attack0.0
41.7Defence83.3
40.7Form16.7
43.9Power36.5
1.29xG1.36
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