Keithvs
Turriff United
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Highland League · 10/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turriff United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keith 1-0 Turriff United
Original prediction
Turriff United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 10:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.6% | 31.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.4% | 25.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.0% | 42.5% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Turriff United
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Turriff United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20