Keithvs
Buckie Thistle
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Highland League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buckie Thistle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keith 3-2 Buckie Thistle
Original prediction
Buckie Thistle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.68 | 15.8% | 13.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.1% | 16.6% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 63.0% | 70.2% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Buckie Thistle
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
Buckie Thistle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60