Keçiörengücüvs
Sivasspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keçiörengücü 1-1 Sivasspor
Original prediction
Keçiörengücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.3% | 57.9% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 21.8% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.0% | 20.3% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60