Keçiörengücüvs
Sarıyer
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keçiörengücü 3-0 Sarıyer
Original prediction
Keçiörengücü
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.6% | 38.8% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 26.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.8% | 34.7% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80