Keçiörengücüvs
Ümraniyespor
SCHEDULEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Keçiörengücü are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ümraniyespor are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ümraniyespor hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the 1. Lig, while Keçiörengücü holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
13.6%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40