Keçiörengücüvs
Ümraniyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keçiörengücü 2-2 Ümraniyespor
Original prediction
Keçiörengücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.5% | 42.1% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.1% | 27.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.96 | 18.4% | 30.8% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40