Keçiörengücüvs
Iğdır FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keçiörengücü 0-0 Iğdır FK
Original prediction
Keçiörengücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.5% | 39.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.8% | 31.3% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20