Keçiörengücüvs
Bursaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bursaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keçiörengücü 2-4 Bursaspor
Original prediction
Bursaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.4% | 31.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.2% | 29.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.4% | 38.8% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Bursaspor
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Bursaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00