Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Keila are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Flora III are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.75 scored and 5.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Keila hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Cup, while Keila holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Keila
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
7.1%
Keila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.75/5.25