Keflavikvs
Valur Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/5/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keflavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keflavik 1-2 Valur Reykjavik
Original prediction
Keflavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.0% | 48.3% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 19.9% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.3% | 31.8% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Keflavik
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Keflavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80