Keflavikvs
KR Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 1-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keflavik 2-3 KR Reykjavik
Original prediction
KR Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.02 | 22.5% | 24.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.3% | 16.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.1% | 58.8% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.1–36%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
KR Reykjavik
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60