Keflavikvs
Fram Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Keflavik 2-2 Fram Reykjavik
Original prediction
Fram Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.0% | 27.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 18.2% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.6% | 54.6% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Fram Reykjavik
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20