Kedus Giorgisvs
Ethiopia Bunna
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kedus Giorgis 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.1% | 38.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.5% | 33.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.4% | 28.4% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kedus GiorgisDLLWW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ethiopia BunnaLLD
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.67
BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Kedus GiorgisEthiopia Bunna
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
0.81xG0.57