Kedus Giorgisvs
Adama Kenema
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kedus Giorgis 0-0 Adama Kenema, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Adama Kenema
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.7% | 34.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.0% | 33.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.3% | 31.8% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Adama Kenema
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.7%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kedus GiorgisLDLLW
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adama KenemaD
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Kedus GiorgisAdama Kenema
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power45.3
0.70xG0.70