NB II
Kecskeméti TE
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Tiszakecske FC
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
The model projects 1.46 xG for Kecskeméti TE and 1.24 xG for Tiszakecske FC. Tiszakecske FC's projected xG of 1.24 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesKecskeméti TETiszakecske FCProbability breakdown
Kecskeméti TE leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Kecskeméti TE Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Kecskeméti TE take on Tiszakecske FC in NB II.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Kecskeméti TE have a structural home advantage that the model quantifies directly. Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams — empirically derived from home sides scoring 10–15% more goals on their own ground. The Elo model gives Kecskeméti TE a 57% expected score in this fixture. When the underlying metrics are otherwise close, home advantage is often the decisive tipping factor.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Kecskeméti TE, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Tiszakecske FC score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Kecskeméti TE have been conceding 2.33 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.22 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
Recent form
Kecskeméti TE
Tiszakecske FC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakecske FC?
GoalVio's model predicts Kecskeméti TE to win with 36% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakecske FC?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakecske FC?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakecske FC?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.