Kecskeméti TEvs
Karcag SE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kecskeméti TE · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kecskeméti TE 5-2 Karcag SE
Original prediction
Kecskeméti TE
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.3% | 66.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.7% | 18.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 6.87 | 13.1% | 14.9% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Kecskeméti TE
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Kecskeméti TE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60