GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 8/13/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fehérvár FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kecskeméti TE are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fehérvár FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fehérvár FC hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the NB I, while Fehérvár FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fehérvár FC

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Fehérvár FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kecskeméti TEWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Fehérvár FCLLDDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kecskeméti TEFehérvár FC
45.5Attack55.6
54.5Defence59.6
45.5Form54.5
50.0Power56.5
1.17xG1.43
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