GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

KDV are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and khimik Dzerzhinsk hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 84.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 4, favouring Khimik Dzerzhinsk with 14.0% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

14.0%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KDVWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Khimik DzerzhinskWWWWD

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KDVKhimik Dzerzhinsk
61.7Attack91.7
68.3Defence76.7
78.3Form88.3
70.3Power84.4
1.00xG1.42
View match centre →