GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KDV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

KDV are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chertanovo Moscow are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and KDV hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Cup, while KDV holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KDV

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

12.6%

KDV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KDVDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chertanovo MoscowWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KDVChertanovo Moscow
100.0Attack0.0
16.7Defence100.0
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power45.3
1.65xG1.24
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