Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KCCA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: KCCA 0-0 UPDF, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
KCCA 0-0 UPDF
Original prediction
KCCA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 12:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.6% | 44.4% | -23.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.4% | 32.4% | 11.0 pts |
| Away | 8.14 | 11.1% | 23.2% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
KCCA 0–0 UPDF
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
KCCA
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
KCCA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KCCAWWWDL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
UPDFLWWDL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KCCAUPDF
22.2Attack22.2
77.8Defence72.2
55.6Form44.4
54.2Power49.3
0.69xG0.53