GGOALVIO

Kuwait · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 2:35:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kazma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kazma 2-1 Al Sulaibikhat

Original prediction

Kazma

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2969.4%66.1%-3.3 pts
Draw4.4720.1%19.7%-0.4 pts
Away8.5610.5%14.2%3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.3–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Kazma

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Kazma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KazmaWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al SulaibikhatLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KazmaAl Sulaibikhat
53.3Attack33.3
73.3Defence13.3
73.3Form20.0
69.5Power24.2
2.50xG0.78
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