Kazincbarcikaivs
Paks
COMPLETEDHungary · Magyar Kupa · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kazincbarcikai 1-2 Paks
Original prediction
Paks
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.21 | 14.3% | 22.1% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 19.8% | 21.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 65.8% | 56.1% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Paks
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Paks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KazincbarcikaiDDWDW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PaksLDWLD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KazincbarcikaiPaks
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
50.0Form88.9
51.0Power82.7
1.61xG3.08