Kazincbarcikaivs
Karcag SE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kazincbarcikai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kazincbarcikai 3-0 Karcag SE
Original prediction
Kazincbarcikai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.1% | 43.3% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 26.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.3% | 29.8% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Kazincbarcikai
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Kazincbarcikai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00