NB IINB II
Saturday, 1 August 202616:30Updated today
Kazincbarcikai

Kazincbarcikai

Home
D
vs
16:30
Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Fehérvár FC(39%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Kazincbarcikai
34%
Draw
28%
Fehérvár FC
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kazincbarcikai
9
Fehérvár FC
94
Defence
Kazincbarcikai
91
Fehérvár FC
91
Momentum
Kazincbarcikai
33
Fehérvár FC
100
Danger (xG)
Kazincbarcikai
0.00
Fehérvár FC
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.44 xG for Kazincbarcikai and 1.65 xG for Fehérvár FC — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.21), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.08 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Kazincbarcikai)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Fehérvár FC)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Kazincbarcikai)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Fehérvár FC)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai
DD
Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC
WL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Kazincbarcikai34%
Draw28%
Fehérvár FC39%

Fehérvár FC leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Fehérvár FC Narrow Edge — Model Projects 1-2

Kazincbarcikai take on Fehérvár FC in NB II.

Key factors

: ⚠️ Upset Risk Kazincbarcikai have won 0 of their last 5 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Fehérvár FC carry the stronger underlying metrics, Kazincbarcikai's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Fehérvár FC hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Fehérvár FC.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Fehérvár FC, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Kazincbarcikai score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.21 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Kazincbarcikai

Kazincbarcikai

D
vs Zemplín Michalovce
30 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Nyiregyhaza
15 May 2026
22
Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC

W
vs Szombathelyi Haladas
10 Jul 2026
30
L
vs Budafoki LC
17 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kazincbarcikai vs Fehérvár FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Fehérvár FC to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kazincbarcikai vs Fehérvár FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Kazincbarcikai vs Fehérvár FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kazincbarcikai vs Fehérvár FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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