Kazakhstan Wvs
Republic of Ireland W
COMPLETEDWorld · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Republic of Ireland W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kazakhstan W 0-8 Republic of Ireland W
Original prediction
Republic of Ireland W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33.00 | 2.8% | 30.4% | 27.6 pts |
| Draw | 11.19 | 8.2% | 23.9% | 15.7 pts |
| Away | 1.03 | 89.0% | 45.7% | -43.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-43.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Republic of Ireland W
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Republic of Ireland W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40