Kazakhstanvs
Faroe Islands
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 10/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kazakhstan 2-2 Faroe Islands
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 38.1% | 35.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 31.6% | 29.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 30.3% | 35.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.97 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.6%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KazakhstanLLDLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Faroe IslandsDDDWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
KazakhstanFaroe Islands
33.3Attack33.3
44.4Defence66.7
11.1Form33.3
32.9Power48.3
1.10xG1.19