Kayserisporvs
İstanbulspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kayserispor · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kayserispor 4-0 İstanbulspor
Original prediction
Kayserispor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.5% | 54.5% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.8% | 24.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 6.18 | 14.7% | 20.8% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Kayserispor
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40